Mahlzeit allerseits
Na da bin ich aber mal gespannt obs heute am Bodensee wahr wird, die Hoffnung stirbt zuletzt... Ermutigende Zeichen in diesen doch trostlosen Tagen manifestieren sich in Form von etlichen Cumuli am Himmel, ein eindeutiges Indiz dafür, dass sich tatsächlich der Feuchtegehalt der unteren Schichten erhöht hat.
So, jetzt aber genug lamentiert, Estofex hat zu meinem erstaunen Teile der Schweiz unter Lvl 2 gesetzt..
Ich zitiere was uns betrifft. "SYNOPSIS
Over much of W, Central and S Europe, synoptic situation will remain very similar to the previous days. Scattered to widespread initiation of storms is expected across a large area in warm and moist airmass. Slow-moving and heavy rainfall efficient storms will once again pose a flash flood risk, while stronger updrafts will be capable of 2 - 4 cm hail. A broad Lvl 1 has been issued over this region and also Turkey for these setups. Initiation will be tied to local topography, convergence zones and outflow boundaries laid out by the overnight convection.
In the satellite imagery, several short-wave troughs are apparent in mid to upper troposphere, namely over Spain, the Northern Sea and over Poland. However, the most prominent vortex is rapidly moving SE-wards across Russia, along with a fast moving cold front. Here, synoptical situation is very different to the rest of Europe.
DISCUSSION
... E France / W Switzerland...
In a synoptic-scale lift ahead of the northward moving short-wave over Spain, widespread initiation is forecast over S France and Massif Central with storms quickly spreading northwards during the forecast period. Moderate buoyancy, with MLCAPE values around 1000 J/kg, is forecast. As mid-tropospheric flow will strengthen slightly, DLS values will reach 10 - 15 m/s, well organised multicells are expected. A few transient supercells are not ruled out particularly near the complex tropography enhancing the shear by modification of lower tropospheric flow. Large hail and excessive precipitation will be the primary threats, but severe wind gusts may occur as well as storms spread northward and cluster rapidly."
Nadann, bin ja mal sehr gespannt auf das Payerne Sounding 12z, wenns jemand vor mir findet bitte gleich posten, dankeschön.
Einheizende Grüsse
Ralph
Edit@ Uwe: mein Reden