2026 Super El Niño?

[oneworldflyer]

https://www.srf.ch/meteo/meteo-stories/ ... d-erwartet

Was sagen und denken die ExpertInnen hier? International wird von möglichem Super El Niño gesprochen.

z.B.
https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-rang ... europe-fa/

[helios]

Ich bin kein Experte, aber die Meeresoberflächentemperatur geht leider wieder in Richtung Rekordwerte.


https://climate.copernicus.eu/sea-surfa ... vels-march

[Federwolke]

Man darf gespannt sein, was das (weltweit) für Auswirkungen hat. Wäre alles Spekulation, weil noch nie auch nur ansatzweise dagewesen:




Quelle und mehr Details: https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/the-s ... -nino-ever

[oneworldflyer]

https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-rang ... europe-fa/

Europe Winter Trends: Westerly Flow and a Milder Pattern

Europe is usually not the first in a direct impact line from the tropics. But in a season with a Super El Niño paired with a positive IOD, the research above already showed an amplified low-pressure pattern over the North Atlantic or northwestern Europe.

Below is the very latest early and mid-winter pattern forecast for Europe, by ECMWF. It shows an almost exact pattern as suggested by the research above, with a high-pressure ridge from the south and a low-pressure area over the northwestern and northern parts.

An amplified westerly flow also brings more moisture into the continent, which is the driver of the precipitation forecast below. You can see above-normal precipitation over the December-February period, driven by westerly moisture transport and the low-pressure system over the north/northwest.